Category Archives: Real Estate Research

Fall Housing Market Predictions

fall housing

We are fully engulfed in pumpkin spice, football, and everything that makes fall nice. But what does the fall season bring to the real estate market as we run up to the end of the year?

INTEREST RATES: It is anticipated that interest rates will remain steady but increase slowly throughout the rest of the year.

INVENTORY: In most of the country inventory is holding steady, but is lower than ideal. November is the end of the second busiest inventory season of the year: if a move is in your future, it is time to put your moving plan into action now.

DAYS ON MARKET: When inventory is low, it typically leads to a correspondingly low number of days on market. That happens because buyers are waiting and watching for properties in good condition that are priced well. The more repairs the home requires or higher the price point, the days on market can creep up.

Typically, if homes do not sell within the first 10 days on the market, it can take 45 days to grab the attention of an interested buyer. It is critical to price your home appropriately from the start. You want to avoid having your property sit on the market over the holidays when buyer traffic slows considerably.

The fall market is a great time to make a move and this year it may be a particularly good time for both buyers and sellers.

Mr. DeMille, I’m Ready for My Close Up

closeupThere is an idiom that has stood the test of time: seeing is believing. And when it comes to spending money, it is a rarity that we ever purchase something based on description alone. Not only do we check on the product reviews of others, but we rely on a visual picture in order to be fully convinced to part with our hard-earned cash. Nothing proves this truer than when it comes to buying property. According to the 2014 NAR® Home Buyers and Sellers profile, buyers rank listing photos as the number 1 most valuable website feature – even higher than the listing’s description! These days, 92% of people looking for a new home rely on the internet to begin their process so it seem only natural that photos are preferred over just a written description. And now that you have found yourself a home to sell, it’s time to get it ready for that photo shoot.

First, you need to speak with your home-owning clients. You have already walked through the home with them, giving suggestions to make things ready for the future showings. Now it is time to give everything some final touches so that the photo shoot goes smoothly. A great tip is to ask your professional photographer (because you shouldn’t be taking the photos on your own) for a checklist your clients can reference in order to get things camera-ready. In fact, this list can also work double-time as a handy tool for those upcoming showing days.

When it comes to the interior of the home, the added touches are all pretty simple. Keep the toilet seat down, clothes in the hamper, toiletries and other personal products hidden from view. One way to give your clients a point of reference is to have a quick tour once a housecleaner professionally cleans the place so everything has a place and the home is picture perfect. As for the exterior, you should have your clients keep the yard clean as a whistle. Keep cars in the garage and/or parked from view, landscaping tidy and trash cans & toys picked up and out of the way. The cleaner the property is kept, the easier it will be for you to photograph and show to prospective buyers.

When it comes to the actual photo shoot, the only proper way to go is with a professional photographer. Find one that understands the business and express exactly what it is that you’re looking for. Before each shoot, show the photographer certain aspects of the home that should be featured in the photos. The more you can show these special features to your prospective buyers, the easier it will be to book showings and, ultimately, sell the home. Build a relationship with them so that you can move through these shoots like a team and make the photos the very best they can be.

After all, a picture is worth a thousand words…

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The State of the Union: Real Estate Edition

state of the unionYesterday, the National Association of Realtors released their quarterly report regarding the statistical news of existing-home sales. It has shown that while we have been on a gradual upswing as of the past three months, our summer season ended with a definite decline come August. Now, this news is not to be taken as bad news; there has not been anything terrible happening in the market. We are seeing definite improvement from last year across the board. However, there has been a stall in the constant increases we’ve been experiencing nationwide.

If we break it down by region, the only one that hasn’t had a change in existing-home sales at all from July is the Northeast. The mid-west declined 1.5 percent, the South was down 6.6 percent and the West down 7.8 percent. These numbers may seem to be cause for concern but all of these regions have an average of a 6 percent increase from last year.

Now these statistics aren’t real estate sales across the board. To be clear, existing-home sales according to the NAR consists of completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops. These sales have fallen 4.8 percent from July, but as a yearly average, they are 6.2 percent above a year ago. I know, it’s a lot of numbers.

Experts are saying that the reason for this stall is a lack of inventory in areas like the South and the West. This has caused the prices for said homes to spike drastically to capitalize on the lack of supply to demand. NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun states, “With sales and overall demand higher than a year ago and supply mostly unchanged, low inventories will likely continue to limit options for those looking to buy this fall even with the overall pool of buyers shrinking because of seasonal factors.” Basically, the lack of new home construction isn’t reflecting the needs of those in various areas. This increases prices, which has been the issue for the stall. Thankfully, the price appreciation for the limited supply of homes have begun to come out of the unhealthy growth rate and started to even out, which is good for the overall sales.

But rather than end this post on a bad note, here’s something to keep in mind as we head into the next quarter: As our job market continues to improve, it will trickle down to wage increases. This will increase homebuilding and improve home inventory, which will continue to slow down price increases. So in the end, it will all even out. Guess we’ll just have to see what the next quarter has in store…

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Rent-to-Own Isn’t as Easy as You May Think

_tma_Rent-to-own

Today I ran across a fact about current housing market that made me stop in my tracks. Homeownership is at its lowest in 25 years. Wait, excuse me? You must have your facts wrong, sir. We can’t seem to slow down this incredible surge in today’s market! Unfortunately, I was mistaken. And the reason behind it is not what you think.

According to the U.S. Census, the rate of homeownership fell to 63.7%, a rate that hasn’t been matched since 1990. But if housing demand is rising and pricing is rising, why isn’t homeownership? The upswing in the economy is actually having a reverse effect on the housing market. Hold on. Let me explain…

Because there is a rise in the economy, there are more millennials moving out of their parents’ homes and into a rental property. This increases the demand of rental properties. In fact, rental vacancies are at an all-time low. The more demand there is for these soon-to-be rental properties, the price for said properties begins to rise, which is what we can see from the latest market reports. Unfortunately, the rise in pricing for these rental properties doesn’t allow first-time buyers to buy. Instead, these single-family homes are bought by investors and rented.

And therein lies the homeownership hit. It really comes down to inventory and these days there isn’t enough of it. And sadly, this leaves a lot of lower and middle-class families unable to join the ranks of homeowners. The more prices rise and expectations are met and/or exceeded, the more homeownership will drop. David Blitzer of S&P Dow Jones Indices states, “Home prices continue to rise and outpace both inflation and wage gains. If a complete recovery means new highs all around, we aren’t there yet.”

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